Predicting the Progress of COVID-19: The Case for Turkey

Mesut Özdinç, Kerem Şenel, Selcen Öztürkcan, Ahmet Akgül*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalEditorialScientificpeer-review

6 Citations (Scopus)


The SIR model is applied to a dataset of 43 days from the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey. Model outputs regarding the estimates of effective reproduction number and peak date of the maximum number of actively infected are presented. Favorable impact of social distancing measures are observed in comparing model outputs on progressive days. Findings are valuable for policy and decision makers in shedding light to the next phases of the pandemic.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)117-119
Number of pages3
JournalTurkiye Klinikleri Journal of Medical Sciences
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 2020
MoE publication typeB1 Article in a scientific magazine


  • COVID-19
  • Pandemics
  • Turkey


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