Predicting the Progress of COVID-19:  The Case for Turkey

Mesut Özdinç; Kerem Şenel; Selcen Öztürkcan; Ahmet Akgül

doi:10.5336/medsci.2020-75741

Predicting the Progress of COVID-19: The Case for Turkey

Mesut Özdinç, Kerem Şenel, Selcen Öztürkcan, Ahmet Akgül^*

^*Korresponderande författare för detta arbete

FSEJ Gemensamma

Forskningsoutput: Tidskriftsbidrag › Ledare › Vetenskaplig › Peer review

8 Citeringar (Scopus)

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The SIR model is applied to a dataset of 43 days from the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey. Model outputs regarding the estimates of effective reproduction number and peak date of the maximum number of actively infected are presented. Favorable impact of social distancing measures are observed in comparing model outputs on progressive days. Findings are valuable for policy and decision makers in shedding light to the next phases of the pandemic.

Originalspråk	Engelska
Sidor (från-till)	117-119
Antal sidor	3
Tidskrift	Turkiye Klinikleri Journal of Medical Sciences
Volym	40
Nummer	2
DOI	https://doi.org/10.5336/medsci.2020-75741
Status	Publicerad - 2020
MoE-publikationstyp	B1 Artikel i en vetenskaplig tidskrift

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10.5336/medsci.2020-75741Licens: CC BY-NC-ND

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title = "Predicting the Progress of COVID-19: The Case for Turkey",

abstract = "The SIR model is applied to a dataset of 43 days from the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey. Model outputs regarding the estimates of effective reproduction number and peak date of the maximum number of actively infected are presented. Favorable impact of social distancing measures are observed in comparing model outputs on progressive days. Findings are valuable for policy and decision makers in shedding light to the next phases of the pandemic.",

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AU - Özdinç, Mesut

AU - Şenel, Kerem

AU - Öztürkcan, Selcen

AU - Akgül, Ahmet

PY - 2020

Y1 - 2020

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AB - The SIR model is applied to a dataset of 43 days from the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey. Model outputs regarding the estimates of effective reproduction number and peak date of the maximum number of actively infected are presented. Favorable impact of social distancing measures are observed in comparing model outputs on progressive days. Findings are valuable for policy and decision makers in shedding light to the next phases of the pandemic.

KW - COVID-19

KW - Pandemics

KW - Turkey

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U2 - 10.5336/medsci.2020-75741

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M3 - Editorial

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Predicting the Progress of COVID-19: The Case for Turkey

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