Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era

Yukie Ikezumi; Mikkel Stein Knudsen; Jari Kaivo-oja

doi:10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era

Yukie Ikezumi
, Mikkel Stein Knudsen^*
, Jari Kaivo-oja

^*Tämän työn vastaava kirjoittaja

Tutkimustuotos: Artikkeli kirjassa/raportissa/konferenssijulkaisussa › Konferenssiartikkeli › Tieteellinen › vertaisarvioitu

1 Sitaatiot (Scopus)

Abstrakti

The paper explores plausible scenarios for the business environment of mobile network operators (MNOs) after the eventual rollout of 6G. The 6G era is characterized by multi-dimensional uncertainty, as neither the technology nor the business landscape is yet in place. However, futures research methods and scenarios help alleviate uncertainty and provide futures knowledge about plausible developments. Using environmental scanning and expert interviews, the paper presents four scenarios for MNOs based on the assumed rate of change for the sector (transformative vs. conservative) and the market success of the incumbents (continued rise vs. fall). Underneath the scenarios is a shared base of assumptions for which the experts converged; these assumptions of changing market configurations provide a useful synopsis of current expert consensus for 6G business futures.

Alkuperäiskieli	Englanti
Otsikko	Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings
Toimittajat	Lorna Uden, I-Hsien Ting, Birgit Feldmann
Kustantaja	Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Sivut	334-346
Sivumäärä	13
ISBN (painettu)	9783031079191
DOI - pysyväislinkit	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26
Tila	Julkaistu - 2022
Julkaistu ulkoisesti	Kyllä
OKM-julkaisutyyppi	A4 Artikkeli konferenssijulkaisuussa
Tapahtuma	16th International Conference on Knowledge Management in Organisations, KMO 2022 - Hagen, Germany Kesto: 11 heinäk. 2022 → 14 heinäk. 2022

Julkaisusarja

Nimi	Communications in Computer and Information Science
Vuosikerta	1593 CCIS
ISSN (painettu)	1865-0929
ISSN (elektroninen)	1865-0937

Konferenssi

Konferenssi	16th International Conference on Knowledge Management in Organisations, KMO 2022
Maa/Alue	Germany
Kaupunki	Hagen
Ajanjakso	11/07/22 → 14/07/22

Rahoitus

Acknowledgements. This study has received financial support from the Strategic Research Council at the Academy of Finland [grant nos. 335980, 335989]. Professor, Dr. Jari Kaivo-oja gratefully acknowledge financial support from the Research Council of Lithuania (LMTLT) and the European Regional Development Fund implementing the project “Platforms of Big Data Foresight (PLATBIDAFO)” (project No. 01.2.2-LMT-K-718-02-0019).

Pääsy asiakirjaan

10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

Muut tiedostot ja linkit

Linkki julkaisuun Scopuksessa

Viittausmuodot

Ikezumi, Y., Knudsen, M. S., & Kaivo-oja, J. (2022). Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era. teoksessa L. Uden, I.-H. Ting, & B. Feldmann (Toimittajat), Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings (Sivut 334-346). (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Vuosikerta 1593 CCIS). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

Ikezumi, Yukie ; Knudsen, Mikkel Stein ; Kaivo-oja, Jari. / Plausible 6G Futures : Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era. Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings. Toimittaja / Lorna Uden ; I-Hsien Ting ; Birgit Feldmann. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2022. Sivut 334-346 (Communications in Computer and Information Science).

@inproceedings{67a8b7f21cf84b57bf71ad65a381de13,

title = "Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era",

abstract = "The paper explores plausible scenarios for the business environment of mobile network operators (MNOs) after the eventual rollout of 6G. The 6G era is characterized by multi-dimensional uncertainty, as neither the technology nor the business landscape is yet in place. However, futures research methods and scenarios help alleviate uncertainty and provide futures knowledge about plausible developments. Using environmental scanning and expert interviews, the paper presents four scenarios for MNOs based on the assumed rate of change for the sector (transformative vs. conservative) and the market success of the incumbents (continued rise vs. fall). Underneath the scenarios is a shared base of assumptions for which the experts converged; these assumptions of changing market configurations provide a useful synopsis of current expert consensus for 6G business futures.",

keywords = "6G, Futures research, Knowledge management, Mobile network operators, Scenarios, Strategic foresight",

author = "Yukie Ikezumi and Knudsen, \{Mikkel Stein\} and Jari Kaivo-oja",

note = "SKA INTA RAPPORTERAS (TY-PUBLIKATION) Funding Information: Acknowledgements. This study has received financial support from the Strategic Research Council at the Academy of Finland [grant nos. 335980, 335989]. Professor, Dr. Jari Kaivo-oja gratefully acknowledge financial support from the Research Council of Lithuania (LMTLT) and the European Regional Development Fund implementing the project “Platforms of Big Data Foresight (PLATBIDAFO)” (project No. 01.2.2-LMT-K-718-02-0019). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2022, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.; 16th International Conference on Knowledge Management in Organisations, KMO 2022 ; Conference date: 11-07-2022 Through 14-07-2022",

year = "2022",

doi = "10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7\_26",

language = "English",

isbn = "9783031079191",

series = "Communications in Computer and Information Science",

publisher = "Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH",

pages = "334--346",

editor = "Lorna Uden and I-Hsien Ting and Birgit Feldmann",

booktitle = "Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings",

}

Ikezumi, Y, Knudsen, MS & Kaivo-oja, J 2022, Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era. julkaisussa L Uden, I-H Ting & B Feldmann (toim), Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings. Communications in Computer and Information Science, Vuosikerta 1593 CCIS, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, Sivut 334-346, 16th International Conference on Knowledge Management in Organisations, KMO 2022, Hagen, Germany, 11/07/22. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era. / Ikezumi, Yukie; Knudsen, Mikkel Stein; Kaivo-oja, Jari.
Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings. toim. / Lorna Uden; I-Hsien Ting; Birgit Feldmann. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2022. s. 334-346 (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Vuosikerta 1593 CCIS).

Tutkimustuotos: Artikkeli kirjassa/raportissa/konferenssijulkaisussa › Konferenssiartikkeli › Tieteellinen › vertaisarvioitu

TY - GEN

T1 - Plausible 6G Futures

T2 - 16th International Conference on Knowledge Management in Organisations, KMO 2022

AU - Ikezumi, Yukie

AU - Knudsen, Mikkel Stein

AU - Kaivo-oja, Jari

N1 - SKA INTA RAPPORTERAS (TY-PUBLIKATION) Funding Information: Acknowledgements. This study has received financial support from the Strategic Research Council at the Academy of Finland [grant nos. 335980, 335989]. Professor, Dr. Jari Kaivo-oja gratefully acknowledge financial support from the Research Council of Lithuania (LMTLT) and the European Regional Development Fund implementing the project “Platforms of Big Data Foresight (PLATBIDAFO)” (project No. 01.2.2-LMT-K-718-02-0019). Publisher Copyright: © 2022, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

PY - 2022

Y1 - 2022

N2 - The paper explores plausible scenarios for the business environment of mobile network operators (MNOs) after the eventual rollout of 6G. The 6G era is characterized by multi-dimensional uncertainty, as neither the technology nor the business landscape is yet in place. However, futures research methods and scenarios help alleviate uncertainty and provide futures knowledge about plausible developments. Using environmental scanning and expert interviews, the paper presents four scenarios for MNOs based on the assumed rate of change for the sector (transformative vs. conservative) and the market success of the incumbents (continued rise vs. fall). Underneath the scenarios is a shared base of assumptions for which the experts converged; these assumptions of changing market configurations provide a useful synopsis of current expert consensus for 6G business futures.

AB - The paper explores plausible scenarios for the business environment of mobile network operators (MNOs) after the eventual rollout of 6G. The 6G era is characterized by multi-dimensional uncertainty, as neither the technology nor the business landscape is yet in place. However, futures research methods and scenarios help alleviate uncertainty and provide futures knowledge about plausible developments. Using environmental scanning and expert interviews, the paper presents four scenarios for MNOs based on the assumed rate of change for the sector (transformative vs. conservative) and the market success of the incumbents (continued rise vs. fall). Underneath the scenarios is a shared base of assumptions for which the experts converged; these assumptions of changing market configurations provide a useful synopsis of current expert consensus for 6G business futures.

KW - 6G

KW - Futures research

KW - Knowledge management

KW - Mobile network operators

KW - Scenarios

KW - Strategic foresight

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85135056872

U2 - 10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

DO - 10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

M3 - Published conference proceeding

AN - SCOPUS:85135056872

SN - 9783031079191

T3 - Communications in Computer and Information Science

SP - 334

EP - 346

BT - Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings

A2 - Uden, Lorna

A2 - Ting, I-Hsien

A2 - Feldmann, Birgit

PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH

Y2 - 11 July 2022 through 14 July 2022

ER -

Ikezumi Y, Knudsen MS, Kaivo-oja J. Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era. julkaisussa Uden L, Ting IH, Feldmann B, toimittajat, Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. 2022. s. 334-346. (Communications in Computer and Information Science). doi: 10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era

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