@inproceedings{67a8b7f21cf84b57bf71ad65a381de13,
title = "Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era",
abstract = "The paper explores plausible scenarios for the business environment of mobile network operators (MNOs) after the eventual rollout of 6G. The 6G era is characterized by multi-dimensional uncertainty, as neither the technology nor the business landscape is yet in place. However, futures research methods and scenarios help alleviate uncertainty and provide futures knowledge about plausible developments. Using environmental scanning and expert interviews, the paper presents four scenarios for MNOs based on the assumed rate of change for the sector (transformative vs. conservative) and the market success of the incumbents (continued rise vs. fall). Underneath the scenarios is a shared base of assumptions for which the experts converged; these assumptions of changing market configurations provide a useful synopsis of current expert consensus for 6G business futures.",
keywords = "6G, Futures research, Knowledge management, Mobile network operators, Scenarios, Strategic foresight",
author = "Yukie Ikezumi and Knudsen, {Mikkel Stein} and Jari Kaivo-oja",
note = "SKA INTA RAPPORTERAS (TY-PUBLIKATION) Funding Information: Acknowledgements. This study has received financial support from the Strategic Research Council at the Academy of Finland [grant nos. 335980, 335989]. Professor, Dr. Jari Kaivo-oja gratefully acknowledge financial support from the Research Council of Lithuania (LMTLT) and the European Regional Development Fund implementing the project “Platforms of Big Data Foresight (PLATBIDAFO)” (project No. 01.2.2-LMT-K-718-02-0019). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2022, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.; 16th International Conference on Knowledge Management in Organisations, KMO 2022 ; Conference date: 11-07-2022 Through 14-07-2022",
year = "2022",
doi = "10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26",
language = "English",
isbn = "9783031079191",
series = "Communications in Computer and Information Science",
publisher = "Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH",
pages = "334--346",
editor = "Lorna Uden and I-Hsien Ting and Birgit Feldmann",
booktitle = "Knowledge Management in Organisations - 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Proceedings",
}