Picking the ICT technology winners - Longitudinal analysis of 21st century technologies based on the Gartner hype cycle 2008-2017: Trends, tendencies, and weak signals

Jari Kaivo-Oja*, Theresa Lauraéus, Mikkel Stein Knudsen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

We analyse longitudinal data of the 2008-2017 Gartner hype cycles and key ICT technologies (151 technologies) in the world. In this study, we have calculated six different index analyses. Our analyses use the following index analyses: 1) ranking index analysis; 2) technology power index analysis; 3) better than other technology power index analysis; 4) triangulation index analysis; 5) weak signal analysis; 6) outlayer analysis. These six analyses are novel analyses. We ranked the information from hype cycles giving a rank for every observed technology. Information of calculations is public and open in the internet publications of the Gartner Ltd. We were able to see the top ten technologies: 1) augmented reality; 2) human augmentation; 3) quantum computing; 4) speech recognition; 5) mobile robots; 6) autonomous vehicles; 7) speech-to-speech translation; 8) mesh network sensor; 9) local-aware applications; 10) idea management.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)216-264
Number of pages49
JournalInternational Journal of Web Engineering and Technology
Volume15
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020
Externally publishedYes
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Keywords

  • Disruptive technologies
  • Forecasting
  • Gartner's hype cycle
  • ICT technology innovations
  • ICT technology winners
  • Technology trends
  • Trend analysis
  • Trends
  • Weak signals

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Picking the ICT technology winners - Longitudinal analysis of 21st century technologies based on the Gartner hype cycle 2008-2017: Trends, tendencies, and weak signals'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this