Are idiosyncratic risk and extreme positive return priced in the Indian equity market?

Syed Ali, Mohammad Nurul Hasan, Ralf Östermark

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

    6 Citations (Scopus)
    38 Downloads (Pure)

    Abstract

    In this paper, we examine whether the IVOL (Idiosyncratic Volatility) and MAX (Extreme Positive Return) can predict future returns in the Indian stock market where a short sale is restricted with no naked short sale allowed. We find that both IVOL and MAX have significantly positive and persistent effects on expected returns in this market. In subsamples, we document that small firms have positive IVOL and MAX effects. However, more interestingly, after including all the controls, in contrast to the finding of Bali et al. (2011), the IVOL and MAX effects are significantly negative for the large firms in this market implying the investors’ response to IVOL and MAX with the perception of low growth prospects of large firms. We use both portfolio level and firm level Fama Macbeth cross-sectional analysis to show the effects.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)530–545
    Number of pages16
    JournalInternational Review of Economics and Finance
    Volume70
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2020
    MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

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